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Peilen naar politieke opvattingen, electorale voorkeuren en motieven van kiezers blijkt ook in Vlaanderen een favoriete sport, zelfs al bogen de opiniepeilers inmiddels op een reputatie die nauwelijks voor de gokindustrie moet onderdoen. Wie peilt wat en welke obstakels lonken daarbij om de hoek? Hoe (on)nauwkeurig brengen marktonderzoekers en wetenschappers de electorale voorkeuren van de kiezer in kaart en hoe punctueel berichten media daar vervolgens over? Hoe (on)betrouwbaar zijn de resultaten, hoe vakbekwaam zijn de opiniepeilers en hoe onafhankelijk de media die over peilingen berichten? Is onze opiniepeilingenindustrie in handen van weinig kritische wetenschappers, ondeskundige marktonderzoekers en onbetrouwbare politieke journalisten? In Het is maar een peiling bundelt Frank Thevissen voor het eerst de antwoorden op al deze netelige vragen. Hij doorprikt populaire en diepgewortelde clichs die over peilingen de ronde doen en demystifieert de wetenschappelijke pretentie waarmee Sommige academici commercile peilingen in opdracht van media en politieke partijen doorgaans hooghartig naar de prullenmand verwijzen. Aan de hand van tientallen actuele voorbeelden wordt op een voor de statistische leek toegankelijke manier, de gebrekkige methodologische en deontologische hygine blootgelegd in de keukens waar 'representatieve peilingen', stemtesten en politieke populariteitspolls worden bereid en via de media op ons bord belanden. Het is maar een peiling gaat ook op zoek naar de oorzaken van de gestage inflatie van de berichtgeving over peilingen. Het onthult hoe een conservatieve wetenschappelijke lobby, journalistieke sensatiedrift, tendentieuze berichtgeving en frauduleuze onderzoekspraktijken in het opiniepeilingenonderzoek konden binnendringen en ontkracht taaie 'wetenschappelijke' legendes die politicologen en sociologen over zichzelf ('ernstige wetenschappers'), hun eigen onderzoek en dat van collega's en commercile marktonderzoeksbureaus ('fantasten') verspreiden. Het is maar een peiling legt talloze peilingen en opinieonderzoeken op de ontleedtafel die de afgelopen tien jaar in Vlaanderen de politieke berichtgeving beheersten. Het gaat na hoe deze de publieke opinie regelmatig op het verkeerde been zetten, zonder dat daar veel wetenschappelijk vakmanschap of journalistiek vernuft aan te pas kwam. Kortom, Thevissen leidt ons rond in de achterkamers van onze opiniepeilingenindustrie: een plek die doorgaans hermetisch afgesloten blijft voor kiezers.

Media --- Opiniepeilingen --- Stemgedrag --- Verkiezingen --- Vlaanderen. --- Vlaanderen --- Politiek. --- België. --- Qualitative methods in social research --- mediaonderzoek --- journalistieke deontologie --- Journalism --- beïnvloeding --- opinieonderzoek --- Belgium --- Publieke opinie --- Methodologie --- Politicologie --- BPB1202 --- 654 Publieke opinie --- #SBIB:303H32 --- Sondage d'opinion --- průzkum veřejného mínění --- opiniepeiling --- javnomnenjska raziskava --- arvamusküsitlus --- sondazh i opinionit --- opinionsundersökning --- opinion poll --- sabiedriskās domas aptauja --- közvélemény-kutatás --- ispitivanje javnoga mnijenja --- sondagem de opinião --- испитување на јавното мислење --- stħarriġ tal-opinjoni pubblika --- badanie opinii publicznej --- opinionsundersøgelse --- mielipidetutkimus --- испитивање јавног мњења --- проучване на общественото мнение --- výskum verejnej mienky --- Meinungsumfrage --- δημοσκόπηση --- sondeo de opinión --- nuomonės apklausa --- sondaj de opinie --- sondaggio di opinione --- onderzoek van het kijk- en luistergedrag --- gallupundersökning --- průzkum sledovanosti --- průzkum poslechovosti --- nivel de audiență --- sondazh i opinionit publik --- prieskum verejnej mienky --- väljarundersökning --- Gelapa aptauja --- sondare a opiniei publice --- sondagem por escuta --- audience rating --- public opinion poll --- mielipidekysely --- průzkum politického mínění --- encuesta de la opinión pública --- Gallup-Verfahren --- arvamusuuring --- агенција за испитување на јавното мислење --- encuesta por teléfono --- Gallup-onderzoek --- јавна анкета --- istraživanje javnoga mnijenja --- Untersuchung der Hör- oder Sehbeteiligung --- Gallupo nuomonių apklausa --- viešosios nuomonės apklausa --- Gallup poll --- lytterundersøgelse --- indagine sull'opinione pubblica --- gallupkysely --- sabiedrības vērtējums --- avaliku arvamuse uuring --- sondage d'écoute --- σφυγμομέτρηση --- publikos vertinimas --- yleinen mielipidemittaus --- inchiesta per campione --- meningsmåling --- vlerësim i publikut --- Gallup --- Gallupovo istraživanje --- indagine telefonica --- γκάλλοπ --- Sondaj Gallup --- onderzoek naar de politieke opinie --- lyssnarundersökning --- sondage d'opinion politique --- Meinungsforschung --- sondazh i Gallupit --- anketa javnoga mišljenja --- gallup --- σφυγμομέτρηση ακροαματικότητας --- prieskum sledovanosti --- Gallupov výskum (výskum politických názorov) --- Waarneming en participerende waarneming, gecontroleerde observatie, groepsdiscussie (vragenlijsten, interviews, experimenten) --- Opiniepeiling --- pobalbhreith --- sondage d'opinion

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This innovative study blends sophisticated statistical analyses, campaign anecdotes, and penetrating political insight to produce a fascinating exploration of one of America's most controversial political institutions--the process by which our major parties nominate candidates for the presidency. Larry Bartels focuses on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary nominating system. He describes the complex interconnections among primary election results, expectations, and subsequent primary results that have made it possible for candidates like Jimmy Carter, George Bush, and Gary Hart to emerge from relative obscurity into political prominence in recent nominating campaigns. In the course of his analysis, he addresses questions central to any understanding--or evaluation--of the modern nominating process. How do fundamental political predispositions influence the behavior of primary voters? How quickly does the public learn about new candidates? Under what circumstances will primary success itself generate subsequent primary success? And what are the psychological processes underlying this dynamic tendency? Professor Bartels examines the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the current nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one-day national primary. Thus the work will be of interest to political activists, would-be reformers, and interested observers of the American political scene, as well as to students of public opinion, voting behavior, the news media, campaigns, and electoral institutions.

Presidents --- United States --- Nomination --- Primaries --- Bush, George, 1924-2018 --- Carter, Jimmy --- Ford, Gerald Rudolph --- Jackson, Jesse Louis --- Mondale, Walter Frederick --- Reagan, Ronald --- Wallace, George Corley --- Kandidatenaufstellung --- Präsidentenwahl --- Vorwahl --- USA --- Afghanistan. --- Bush, George. --- Gallup Poll. --- Glenn, John. --- Houston Chronicle. --- Iran hostage crisis. --- Janaskie, Paul. --- Johnston, Richard. --- Kemp, Jack. --- Kentucky Derby. --- Lichtenstein, Sarah. --- Ohio primary. --- Opus (penguin). --- Smith, Carolyn. --- Solid South. --- Super Tuesday. --- Time magazine. --- Vietnam war. --- Watergate. --- ambiguity. --- approval voting. --- bandwagon. --- brokered convention. --- campaign effects. --- congressional caucuses. --- contagion. --- conventions. --- deathwatch coverage. --- defense spending. --- delegates. --- endogeneity of preferences. --- expectations. --- feeling thermometer. --- foreign policy. --- government services. --- horse race. --- information. --- labor unions. --- liberalism scores. --- media use. --- momentum. --- name recognition. --- national primary. --- negative momentum. --- nuclear power. --- paradox of voting. --- political activation. --- projection. --- reform. --- regional primaries. --- threshold model. --- unemployment. --- President --- Präsident --- President of the United States of America --- Präsident der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika --- President of the United States --- American Presidents --- ABŞ --- ABSh --- Ameerika Ühendriigid --- America (Republic) --- Amerika Birlăshmish Shtatlary --- Amerika Birlăşmi Ştatları --- Amerika Birlăşmiş Ştatları --- Amerika ka Kelenyalen Jamanaw --- Amerika Qūrama Shtattary --- Amerika Qŭshma Shtatlari --- Amerika Qushma Shtattary --- Amerika (Republic) --- Amerikai Egyesült Államok --- Amerikanʹ Veĭtʹsėndi︠a︡vks Shtattnė --- Amerikări Pĕrleshu̇llĕ Shtatsem --- Amerikas Forenede Stater --- Amerikayi Miatsʻyal Nahangner --- Ameriketako Estatu Batuak --- Amirika Carékat --- AQSh --- Ar. ha-B. --- Arhab --- Artsot ha-Berit --- Artzois Ha'bris --- Bí-kok --- Ē.P.A. --- EE.UU. --- Egyesült Államok --- ĒPA --- Estados Unidos --- Estados Unidos da América do Norte --- Estados Unidos de América --- Estaos Xuníos --- Estaos Xuníos d'América --- Estatos Unitos --- Estatos Unitos d'America --- Estats Units d'Amèrica --- Ètats-Unis d'Amèrica --- États-Unis d'Amérique --- Fareyniḳṭe Shṭaṭn --- Feriene Steaten --- Feriene Steaten fan Amearika --- Forente stater --- FS --- Hēnomenai Politeiai Amerikēs --- Hēnōmenes Politeies tēs Amerikēs --- Hiwsisayin Amerikayi Miatsʻeal Tērutʻiwnkʻ --- Istadus Unidus --- Jungtinės Amerikos valstybės --- Mei guo --- Mei-kuo --- Meiguo --- Mî-koet --- Miatsʻyal Nahangner --- Miguk --- Na Stàitean Aonaichte --- NSA --- S.U.A. --- SAD --- Saharat ʻAmērikā --- SASht --- Severo-Amerikanskie Shtaty --- Severo-Amerikanskie Soedinennye Shtaty --- Si︠e︡vero-Amerikanskīe Soedinennye Shtaty --- Sjedinjene Američke Države --- Soedinennye Shtaty Ameriki --- Soedinennye Shtaty Severnoĭ Ameriki --- Soedinennye Shtaty Si︠e︡vernoĭ Ameriki --- Spojené obce severoamerické --- Spojené staty americké --- SShA --- Stadoù-Unanet Amerika --- Stáit Aontaithe Mheiriceá --- Stany Zjednoczone --- Stati Uniti --- Stati Uniti d'America --- Stâts Unîts --- Stâts Unîts di Americhe --- Steatyn Unnaneysit --- Steatyn Unnaneysit America --- SUA (Stati Uniti d'America) --- Sŭedineni amerikanski shtati --- Sŭedinenite shtati --- Tetã peteĩ reko Amérikagua --- U.S. --- U.S.A. --- United States of America --- Unol Daleithiau --- Unol Daleithiau America --- Unuiĝintaj Ŝtatoj de Ameriko --- US --- Usono --- Vaeinigte Staatn --- Vaeinigte Staatn vo Amerika --- Vereinigte Staaten --- Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika --- Verenigde State van Amerika --- Verenigde Staten --- VS --- VSA --- Wááshindoon Bikéyah Ałhidadiidzooígíí --- Wilāyāt al-Muttaḥidah --- Wilāyāt al-Muttaḥidah al-Amirīkīyah --- Wilāyāt al-Muttaḥidah al-Amrīkīyah --- Yhdysvallat --- Yunaeted Stet --- Yunaeted Stet blong Amerika --- ZDA --- Združene države Amerike --- Zʹi︠e︡dnani Derz︠h︡avy Ameryky --- Zjadnośone staty Ameriki --- Zluchanyi︠a︡ Shtaty Ameryki --- Zlucheni Derz︠h︡avy --- ZSA --- Η.Π.Α. --- Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες της Αμερικής --- Америка (Republic) --- Американь Вейтьсэндявкс Штаттнэ --- Америкӑри Пӗрлешӳллӗ Штатсем --- САЩ --- Съединените щати --- Злучаныя Штаты Амерыкі --- ولايات المتحدة --- ولايات المتّحدة الأمريكيّة --- ولايات المتحدة الامريكية --- 미국 --- États-Unis --- É.-U. --- ÉU --- Präsident --- Präsident der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika --- Primary --- Vorwahlen --- Wahl --- Präsidentschaftswahl --- Staatspräsidentenwahl --- Nominierung --- Nordamerika --- Amerika --- Etats Unis --- Etats-Unis --- Estados Unidos de America --- EEUU --- Vereinigte Staaten von Nordamerika --- Soedinennye Štaty Ameriki --- SŠA --- Stany Zjednoczone Ameryki Północnej --- Hēnōmenai Politeiai tēs Boreiu Amerikēs --- Hēnōmenes Politeies tēs Amerikēs --- HēPA --- Ēnōmenes Politeies tēs Amerikēs --- ĒPA --- Etats-Unis d'Amérique --- Amerikaner --- Konföderierte Staaten von Amerika

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En science politique, l’analyse des politiques publiques a été l’un des domaines les plus à la mode et les plus développés à la fin du 20e siècle. Des concepts et des modèles ont été élaborés pour décoder tous les secteurs : économie, finance, environnement, santé publique, enseignement, etc. Aujourd’hui, ce sont des problématiques transversales qui s’imposent : la participation, la durabilité et le climat, la digitalisation et l’intelligence artificielle. Comment les outils classiques de l’analyse des politiques publiques nous aident-ils à les comprendre ? L’ouvrage expose de manière claire et condensée les apports de la littérature scientifique tant anglo-saxonne que francophone.Il éclaire les futurs de l’action publique au 21e siècle. Quels défis attendent les générations à venir et comment les aborder ? Il détaille aussi bien les acteurs que les lieux et les temporalités des décisions politiques

Politique publique --- Administration publique - Prise de décision --- Administration publique --- Évaluation --- politique publique --- participation --- changement climatique --- numérisation --- sondage d'opinion --- groupe d'intérêt --- STRADALEX --- BPB2108 --- група за притисок --- nyomásgyakorló csoport --- pressionsgruppe --- lobizmas --- surverühm --- pressure group --- pressiegroep --- grupo de presión --- lobbitevékenység --- lobi --- ietekmētājgrupa --- lob --- lobijs --- lobbying --- grup de presiune --- лобирање --- lobbi --- lobbiszervezet --- nátlaková skupina --- påtryckningsgrupp --- painostusryhmä --- lobby --- лоби --- Lobby --- spaudimo grupė --- grup presioni --- lobitöö --- eturyhmä --- gruppo di pressione --- ομάδα επιρροής --- grupo de pressão --- interesna grupa --- skupina za pritisak --- groupe de pression --- ομάδα πίεσης --- korridorpolitik --- interesna skupina --- група со интерес --- grupo de interesses --- záujmová skupina --- grupo de interés --- gruppo d'interesse --- interesų grupė --- grupa interesu --- érdekcsoport --- grúpa sainleasa --- intressegrupp --- zájmová skupina --- interessegruppe --- etujärjestö --- grup de interese --- belangengroep --- Interessengruppe --- huvirühm --- grup interesi --- grupp interessat --- интересна група --- група по интереси --- interešu grupa --- ομάδα συμφερόντων --- interest group --- onderzoek van het kijk- en luistergedrag --- gallupundersökning --- průzkum sledovanosti --- průzkum poslechovosti --- nivel de audiență --- sondazh i opinionit publik --- prieskum verejnej mienky --- väljarundersökning --- Gelapa aptauja --- sondare a opiniei publice --- sondagem por escuta --- audience rating --- public opinion poll --- mielipidekysely --- průzkum politického mínění --- encuesta de la opinión pública --- Gallup-Verfahren --- arvamusuuring --- агенција за испитување на јавното мислење --- encuesta por teléfono --- Gallup-onderzoek --- јавна анкета --- istraživanje javnoga mnijenja --- Untersuchung der Hör- oder Sehbeteiligung --- Gallupo nuomonių apklausa --- viešosios nuomonės apklausa --- Gallup poll --- lytterundersøgelse --- indagine sull'opinione pubblica --- gallupkysely --- sabiedrības vērtējums --- avaliku arvamuse uuring --- sondage d'écoute --- σφυγμομέτρηση --- publikos vertinimas --- yleinen mielipidemittaus --- inchiesta per campione --- meningsmåling --- vlerësim i publikut --- Gallup --- Gallupovo istraživanje --- indagine telefonica --- γκάλλοπ --- Sondaj Gallup --- onderzoek naar de politieke opinie --- lyssnarundersökning --- sondage d'opinion politique --- Meinungsforschung --- sondazh i Gallupit --- anketa javnoga mišljenja --- gallup --- σφυγμομέτρηση ακροαματικότητας --- prieskum sledovanosti --- Gallupov výskum (výskum politických názorov) --- pobalbhreith --- průzkum veřejného mínění --- opiniepeiling --- javnomnenjska raziskava --- arvamusküsitlus --- sondazh i opinionit --- opinionsundersökning --- opinion poll --- sabiedriskās domas aptauja --- közvélemény-kutatás --- ispitivanje javnoga mnijenja --- sondagem de opinião --- испитување на јавното мислење --- stħarriġ tal-opinjoni pubblika --- badanie opinii publicznej --- opinionsundersøgelse --- mielipidetutkimus --- испитивање јавног мњења --- проучване на общественото мнение --- výskum verejnej mienky --- Meinungsumfrage --- δημοσκόπηση --- sondeo de opinión --- nuomonės apklausa --- sondaj de opinie --- sondaggio di opinione --- digitalizacija --- skaitmeninis keitimas --- digitalisation --- numerizzazzjoni --- digitalizzazione --- transformace dat --- digitalizace dat --- digitalização --- digitiú --- digitalisointi --- дигитализација --- digitalisering --- skaitmeninimas --- digitaliziranje --- ciparošana --- digitalizácia --- digitalizace dokumentů --- digitalizacja --- diġitalizzazzjoni --- дигитализация --- numerizzazione --- digitalizare --- digitisation --- ψηφιοποίηση --- digjitalizim --- Digitalisierung --- digitalización --- digitalizálás --- digiteerimine --- az éghajlat változása --- modificación del clima --- klimatiskā izmaiņa --- промена на климата --- klimatická změna --- klimatická zmena --- climatic change --- schimbări climatice --- cambio climático --- klimatska promjena --- tibdil fil-klima --- промена климе --- klimatförändring --- alteração climática --- kliimamuutus --- sprememba podnebja --- климатска промена --- zmiany klimatyczne --- climate change --- промяна на климата --- cambiamento climatico --- schimbare climatică --- ndryshim klimaterik --- změna klimatu --- klimata maiņa --- éghajlatváltozás --- zmena podnebia --- klimato kaita --- athrú aeráide --- klimaatsverandering --- Klimaveränderung --- ilmastonmuutos --- klimaændring --- κλιματική αλλαγή --- partecipazione finanziaria --- акционерски удел --- assunzione del controllo d'impresa --- osalus äriühingus --- většinové držení akcií --- equity ownership --- ekonomistu konsultācija --- akciju kapitāla procenti --- verkrijgen van een meerderheidspakket --- equity interest --- Kontrollbeteiligung --- финансиско учество --- irányító részesedés --- többségi részesedés --- prioritný podiel --- financiële deelneming --- ανάληψη ελέγχου --- tomada de participação --- partecipazione maggioritaria --- priklausančioji akcijų dalis --- befolyásszerzés --- väčšinový podiel --- Kontrollübernahme --- majoritetsandel --- participation financière --- tomada de participação majoritária --- Unternehmensbeherrschung --- uitoefening van controle --- osakkuus yhtiössä --- kontrolinis akcijų paketas --- controlling interest --- participare majoritară --- dionički interes --- osalus aktsiaseltsis --- omistusosuus --- participating interest --- kontrolní balík akcií --- equity investment --- většinová účast --- oluline osalus --- kontrolpakete --- equity participation --- participación financiera --- prise de contrôle --- akcijų paketas --- prise de participation --- enemmistöosuus --- мнозински удел --- πλειοψηφική συμμετοχή --- entrata in partecipazione in impresa --- kontrolný podiel --- Mehrheitsbeteiligung --- учество во капитал --- χρηματική συμμετοχή --- vállalkozásokban részesedés szerzése --- Übernahme der Aktienmehrheit --- vähemmistöosuus --- overtagelse --- controlo de empresa --- adquisición de participaciones --- holding in a company --- enamusosalus --- većinski paket dionica --- control de la empresa --- kontroll över ett företag --- toezicht op de onderneming --- дялово участие --- aksione në një shoqëri tregtare --- finansiell delaktighet --- prise de participation majoritaire --- finansiel deltagelse --- shumicë e aksioneve --- hallitseva osuus --- kapitálové podílnictví --- overtagelse af aktiemajoritet --- contrôle d'entreprise --- participare financiară --- akcinio kapitalo dalis --- rozhodující podíl --- podiel v spoločnosti --- adquisición de la participación mayoritaria --- interes pjesëmarrës --- participation au capital --- капиталови инвестиции --- kapitálové účastnictví --- förvärv av andelsrätt --- podíl na společnosti --- controlul companiei --- participação financeira --- participatie --- assunzione di partecipazione maggioritaria --- akcijų paketo dalis --- kapitálový podiel --- контролен пакет акции --- befolyásoló részesedés --- kontrolinė akcijų dalis --- έλεγχος της επιχείρησης --- vagyoni hozzájárulás --- interes pjesëmarrjeje në kapital --- controllo d'impresa --- tomada de controlo --- meerderheidsparticipatie --- interes kontrollues --- kapitálová účast --- aktsiate kontrollpakk --- förvärv av aktiemajoritet --- удел во компанија --- majority holding --- pronësi aksionesh --- udział w spółce --- акционерство --- részesedés --- akcijų valdymas --- εταιρική συμμετοχή --- akciju pakete --- scairsheilbh --- kapitalinteresse --- držba akcií --- dioničarstvo --- Beteiligung --- participação --- participación --- участие в акционерно дружество --- osalus --- aktieinnehav --- osakkeenomistus --- delničarstvo --- shareholding --- parteċipazzjoni azzjonarja --- acționariat --- partecipazione --- акционарство --- deelneming --- politika pubblika --- управувачка политика --- официјална политика --- политика на државниот врв --- avalik poliitika --- offentlig politik --- veřejná politika --- öffentliche Politik --- politică publică --- overheidsbeleid --- verejná politika --- обществена политика --- public policy --- javna politika --- valsts politika --- közpolitika --- државна политика --- viešoji politika --- beartas poiblí --- δημόσια πολιτική --- politica pubblica --- polityka władz publicznych --- ordni pubbliku --- јавна политика --- julkinen politiikka --- política pública --- politika publike --- #SBIB:35H400 --- #SBIB:35H006 --- Gestion publique Overheidsbeheer --- Beleid: algemeen --- Bestuurswetenschappen: theorieën --- Political planning --- E-books --- groupe d'intérêt --- numérisation --- Political planning.